Pittsburgh Panthers vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/22/25

Georgia Tech’s ACC Championship hopes are in the balance this weekend when the 9-1 Yellow Jackets host the 7-3 Pitt Panthers in Atlanta. The Jackets barely – and I mean barely – survived on the road at Boston College last week. They needed 628 total yards and a 19-point 4th quarter to win the game 36-34, as a first-half fumble and missed field goal suppressed Georgia Tech’s scoring before the intermission. 

As for Pitt, the Panthers managed to keep it close against Notre Dame for all of about 6 minutes before the wheels fell off when Mason Heintschel threw a pick 6 to put the Irish up 14 – a lead from which they never looked back. Coach Pat Narduzzi won’t be mad though, right? Like he said, the Notre Dame game didn’t matter, even if the Panthers lost by 100. 

Georgia Tech’s defense is extremely worrisome. The Yellow Jackets are outside the top 70 in scoring and outside the top 100 in total defense, which leaves them exposed every single week. Look no further than last week, when the Jackets surrendered more than 30 points and 500 yards to a Boston College offense that had not surpassed 24 points since Week 2. However, I’m still siding with Tech in this one, mostly because of QB Haynes King.

King has been one of the most reliable QBs in the country this year. He has just 2 interceptions, and you could argue they weren’t his fault considering he has 0 turnover-worthy plays according to PFF. King also sits top-10 in completion percentage and has been sacked just 8 times this year – mostly due to his dynamism as a runner. The GT signal-caller leads the team with over 800 rushing yards, has ripped off 25 10+ yard runs, and leads the country in non-RB rushing touchdowns this season.

As a team, Tech averages less than 1 giveaway per game against FBS opponents, which is tied for 12th nationally. Meanwhile, Pitt ranks 114th, averaging nearly 2 giveaways per game. Narduzzi made the switch from Eli Holstein to Heintschel in an attempt to find stability at the QB position, but Heintschel has been just as careless with the ball as his predecessor – posting 6 interceptions and 13 turnover-worthy plays in 6 starts. Five of those interceptions and 7 of those turnover-worthy plays came on the road. 

Being the veteran home team with the more trustworthy QB, I like the Yellow Jackets to get the win in their final ACC game and punch their ticket to the conference championship in Charlotte – but I’m wary of laying points with them after their defensive showing last week. Hopefully they were just looking ahead to this game? 

Pitt vs Georgia Tech prediction: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets ML (-128) available at the time of publishing. Playable to -150.

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