Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs Georgia Southern Eagles Prediction, Odds and Picks for Tomorrow, 10/09/25

We have a pretty important showdown in the Sun Belt on Thursday as Southern Miss will take on the Georgia Southern in a game that has a unique flavor to it compared to most games between Group of 5 sides this week. For starters, this is a pretty solid situational spot for Souther Miss. In fact, the unique makeup of the Golden Eagles gives this team a bit of a revenge angle on Saturday, as head coach Charles Huff had his Marshall team ahead by 3 scores in the 4th quarter of last season’s matchup in Statesboro, before the hosts scored 4 times in the final 6 minutes to steal the game and hand Marshall backers a terrible beat in the process. This game isn’t just personal for Huff, it’s a major prove-it spot for the entire team, as a large chunk of this roster was at Marshall a season ago and will certainly have that game in mind this week.

Huff and this staff should have a good idea of how to defend this Georgia Southern scheme, as the Eagles had registered just 3 points over more than 3 quarters of football prior to the flurry of scores in the final minutes of last year’s contest. Southern Miss quarterback Braylon Braxton had an excellent game in this exact matchup a year ago, throwing for 2 touchdowns and completing 75% of his throws before getting injured in the second half, which ultimately led to the Eagles comeback. Braxton leads a Southern Miss offense into this game that continues to be a decent Sun Belt unit (30th in quality drive rate), and they should see plenty of success against a Georgia Southern defense that is 132nd in success rate allowed, 131st in points per drive allowed and 120th in 3rd and 4th down success rate.  It’s not like the Eagles have been the most successful offense either, as Georgia Southern sits at 95th in passing success rate and 112th in EPA per dropback, which is the way that most teams have been able to score on Southern Miss to this point. At a field goal or better, I’m certainly looking to lay the points with the short road favorites in a clear revenge spot on Thursday.

Southern Miss vs Georgia Southern prediction: Southern Miss -2.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to 3. 

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