Texas A&M Aggies vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 09/13/25

A massive non-conference showdown kicks off from South Bend, Indiana on Saturday when the Texas A&M Aggies travel to Notre Dame to play the Fighting Irish. The Aggies come into this contest on the heels of 2 blowout victories in which they held a massive talent advantage over their opponents, while the Irish were idle last week after losing to Miami in Week 1. Notre Dame was outgained in that contest, suffered from 2 turnovers, and couldn’t get its highly-regarded run game going. In fact, Jeremiyah Love and the Irish gained fewer than 100 yards on the ground and averaged less than 3.5 yards per attempt against Miami’s defensive front.

These teams met to open the season last year and Notre Dame prevailed in College Station 23-13 as a 3-point underdog, while the game stayed well below the total of 47.5. This time around, the market has flipped. Notre Dame is laying a touchdown at home, and the total is higher than last year. 

I realize Notre Dame was the national runner-up last year, but a 10-point difference between last season’s game and this game seems to be a bit much given how these teams differ now compared to then. Since that game, Marcel Reed took over at quarterback for Texas A&M, and he has a full stable of playmakers at his disposal this year – which couldn’t be said last year. Wide receiver transfers KC Concepcion and Mario Craver have already made an impact, and the running back room is loaded with Le’Veon Moss and Rueben Owens.

Don’t get me wrong, Notre Dame has its own dynamic duo at running back, but I give the edge to Texas A&M as it pertains to wide receiver and offensive line in this particular matchup. After finishing in the top half of the country in pass and run blocking per PFF, the Aggies returned everyone on their offensive line, and the unit has looked good through 2 games albeit against inferior competition. Notre Dame’s defensive front will be a much tougher test, but Texas A&M should still find success offensively given its experience across the line and its playmaking surrounding Reed. 

Playing at home, Notre Dame’s offense is likely to look better this week than it did against Miami with extra preparation. That being said, I’m not confident in the Irish’s ability to limit Texas A&M’s offense this time around. Give me the points with the Aggies in a revenge spot.

Texas A&M vs Notre Dame prediction: Texas A&M Aggies +7 (-110) at the time of publishing. Playable to +6.

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Last season’s matchup between Notre Dame and Texas A&M was a low-scoring, defensive affair in which the Aggies failed to surpass 250 yards and turned the ball over twice at home. It was a sloppy game, too, given the 17 combined penalties that were accepted. As a result, there were only 36 combined points scored, which stayed well below the closing total of 47.5.

This time around, the total is higher. Not only did it open higher than 47.5, but it was bet up immediately. I agree with the move, as I expect to see a much better offensive performance from the Aggies in this matchup, even if they are the ones playing on the road. Texas A&M’s offense dramatically improved in the offseason with the additions of wide receivers KC Concepcion and Mario Craver, and Marcel Reed has already shown he offers a much higher ceiling as a quarterback than Connor Weigman – who was 12/30 for 100 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions when he started against Notre Dame last year. Another full offseason to learn offensive coordinator Collin Klein’s offense doesn’t hurt either, as the game against Notre Dame last year was his first game calling plays in College Station. Furthermore, you could make the argument that Notre Dame’s defense has regressed after it lost cornerstone pieces like Jack Kiser, Xavier Watters, Jordan Clark, and Howard Cross III in the offseason. All things considered, I expect Texas A&M to be much better offensively than it was last year in this matchup.

On the other side of the field, it’s tough to gauge how good the Aggies are defensively due to the blowout nature of their first 2 games. However, they looked susceptible against the run in Week 1 against UTSA, which is worrisome against Notre Dame – even if the Irish didn’t look great on the ground against Miami. If Texas A&M cannot contain the run, Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price will take advantage. Moreover, new Irish quarterback CJ Carr looked more comfortable in the second half against Miami than he did in the first half. That experience, plus playing at home in front of his own fans, should pave the way for improvement on his Week 1 performance. 

Don’t be surprised to see at least one of these teams surpass 30 points. Give me the over. 

Texas A&M vs Notre Dame prediction: Over 49.5 (-110) at the time of publishing. Playable to 51.

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