Texas A&M Aggies

Texas A&M Aggies vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Odds and Picks for Friday, 11/28/25

Darrell K Royal - Texas Memorial StadiumABC
Texas A&M
11-0
Texas A&M
Fri Nov 28
Texas
8-3
Texas

Vote on who will win!

Texas Longhorns
Google News

Texas A&M vs Texas Pickswise Expert Predictions

Money Line Pick
Texas A&M Win(-122)

The Lonestar Showdown returned after a 12-year hiatus last year when the #3 Texas Longhorns went into College Station and beat the #20 Texas A&M Aggies 17-7. One year later, the roles are essentially reversed, as the Aggies are #3 in the CFP Rankings coming into this game while the ‘Horns are #17. As it stands, Texas A&M is 1 of 3 undefeated teams remaining in the FBS. 

Texas has been touted as one of the strongest defenses in the country, but that hasn’t been the case in recent weeks. The Longhorns have surrendered at least 31 points in 4 straight games against Mississippi State, Vanderbilt, Georgia, and Arkansas, and now they square off against one of the best and most electrifying offenses in the country in Texas A&M. The Aggies come into this game as a top-15 team in scoring, total offense, and yards per play, and they have top-35 red-zone offense to boot. 

On the other side of the ball, Texas A&M has one of the most aggressive defenses in the country. The Aggies are 2nd nationally in both sacks and tackles for loss, which is going to put a ton of pressure on Arch Manning and a mediocre offensive line by SEC standards – one that is 78th in sacks surrendered and 92nd in tackles for loss allowed. Furthermore, the Longhorns have struggled offensively on standard downs and with their run-game efficiency, and that’s not going to put them in very favorable positions against what has been the best third-down defense in the country this year. 

Texas’ offense has been below-average at best in scoring situations, sitting 84 in points scored per quality drive over the last 5 weeks and outside the top 70 in red zone scoring over the course of the whole season. When you combine their red-zone woes with what has become an unreliable defense, it’s hard to trust the Longhorns against what’s been a wagon of a Texas A&M team – maybe aside from a single, fluky half against South Carolina. Give me Texas A&M, but on the money line given its affordable price. 

Texas A&M vs Texas prediction: Texas A&M Aggies ML (-122) on FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing. Playable to -135 or up to -2.5 on the spread.

Now you can bet any of our Texas A&M vs Texas predictions at FanDuel Sportsbook, which has a great new-customer offer to take advantage of. If you sign up for FanDuel right now, you earn a welcome bonus worth up to $300 if your first $5 bet wins! Use this link 🔗 to join FanDuel right now and learn more.

Game Totals Pick
Under 51.5(-110)

Texas A&M’s frequent scoring outbursts have led to a flurry of overs this season. In fact, 8 of Texas A&M’s 11 games have gone over the total, as the Aggies have failed to surpass 30 points all but once this season. They should be able to do it yet again this week against what was once a feared Texas defense, but has now seemingly regressed in recent weeks. Not only have the Longhorns dropped outside the top 20 in scoring and outside the top 35 in total defense, but they are also outside the top 100 in red-zone touchdown rate this season and second-to-last (135th) in opposing scoring on quality drives over the last 5 weeks. 

At first glance, I leaned to the over in this matchup, and while I don’t trust Texas’ defense to limit Texas A&M’s scoring in this game, I also struggle to find confidence in Texas’ offense. The Longhorns’ best scoring efforts have come against exploitable defenses like Arkansas, Mississippi State (which required a miracle comeback fueled by 31 points scored in the 4th quarter and overtime), and Sam Houston State. However, against some of their best defensive opponents in Georgia, Oklahoma, and Ohio State, the Longhorns scored more than 10 points just once – a 23-point performance against Oklahoma in which 1 of their 2 touchdowns scored was on a punt return. That means the Longhorns scored just 1 offensive touchdown against each of those opponents, which also means it’s hard to trust them to do their part to push this game over the total. Because of that, I will lean to the under — though you might want to hold your nose given the explosiveness of Texas A&M’s offense. 

Texas A&M vs Texas prediction: Under 51.5 at the time of publishing. Playable to 51.

You can bet on our Texas A&M vs Texas pick at DraftKings Sportsbook, which has thousands of betting options available and a great new customer offer where you can get $200 in bonus bets instantly! Click here 👈🏼 to sign up for a DraftKings account now.

Photo of Sam Avellone

Sam Avellone

Long-time suffering Browns fan born and raised in the greater Cleveland, Ohio area who now resides in SEC country. University of South Carolina alum. Sports handicapper for close to 10 years with a primary focus on NCAAB while enjoying NFL, PGA, NCAAF, NBA, and Soccer. For Sam Avellone media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
Read more about Sam Avellone