Texas Longhorns vs Georgia Bulldogs Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 11/15/25

The game of the week will be played in Athens on Saturday night when the Texas Longhorns visit the Georgia Bulldogs in what is a rematch of the 2024 SEC Championship – a game Georgia won despite Carson Beck being knocked out with an injury. In fact, Texas was 0-2 against Georgia last year, and neither game was in Athens. This time around, while the Longhorns seek revenge, they will be in a true road environment – which is not where they have thrived this season. In 4 true road games, Texas is 2-2 SU with losses at Ohio State and Florida. The 2 wins were both in overtime against teams that sit in the bottom half of the SEC in Kentucky and Mississippi State. 

Although Georgia’s home winning streak was snapped by Alabama earlier this year, the Bulldogs have been status quo in Athens since – posting a 21-point win over Kentucky and a come-from-behind, 8-point win over Ole Miss. Given Texas’ deficiencies on the road, I think Georgia’s home-field advantage may be even greater than oddsmakers can quantify, especially when you consider this is a night game. 

I like the way Georgia’s offense has been trending of late. The Bulldogs are 18th in PPA per play and 31st in points scored per quality drive outside of garbage time since Week 7, and Gunner Stockton continues to improve under center – most notably as a passer. He has thrown 9 touchdowns to just 1 interception over his last 3 games, and he’s shown that he’s plenty capable of handling pressure and opposing blitzes – which is huge against Texas’ defense. 

Given Texas’ body of work in true road games this year, I have a difficult time trusting the Longhorns to stay within the number. The ‘Horns also have struggled with red-zone efficiency dating back to last year, which will do them no favors in Sanford Stadium – especially opposite of a Georgia offense that has been so good at finding the end zone once crossing the opposing 20. Give me the ‘Dawgs.

Texas vs Georgia prediction: Georgia Bulldogs -5.5 at the time of publishing. Playable to -6.5.

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