Toledo Rockets vs Washington State Cougars Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 10/25/25

The Toledo Rockets bounced back from their 3rd loss of the season with a 45-10 victory over Kent State in which they faced a 10-0 deficit early in the game. The Rockets rattled-off 45 unanswered points and outgained the Golden Flashes 552-224 in the victory. At 4-3, Toledo will hit the road this week to play a non-conference game at Washington State against a Cougars team that just played east-coast, power-conference schools in back-to-back weeks. Two weeks ago, Wazzu took Ole Miss to the wire in Oxford. In fact, the Cougars held the lead twice despite catching over 30 points on the spread, but wound up losing by 3 points. Last week, Washington State had a double-digit lead in the fourth quarter in Charlottesville, a deficit from which the Cavaliers came back. Virginia ended up winning by 2 on a safety. 

The Cougars may have forgotten what playing at home feels like. They have been on the road in 4 of their last 5 contests, and their one home game in that span was a 35-point loss to rival Washington. This game against Toledo should be very winnable for Washington State, but how motivated will this bunch be to play Toledo after just playing against Ole Miss and Virginia on the road in very narrow losses? Despite their 4-3 record, the Rockets can be a tricky team to play, especially because of how good they are defensively. They are 5th nationally in yards per play this season, and over the last 5 weeks, they have top-35 marks in every single advanced defensive metric I evaluate. Because of that, my numbers make them a favorite over Wazzu despite being winless on the road thus far. I’m going to follow the projections and lean to Toledo in this one due to its highly-efficient defense and above-average rushing attack. 

Toledo vs Washington State prediction: Toledo Rockets ML (+105) at the time of publishing. Playable to +100.

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