Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Tuesday, 04/29/25
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Diamondbacks vs Mets Pickswise Expert Predictions
The Mets have been nearly unbeatable at home this season, opening with a 12-1 record at Citi Field. That makes this a tough spot for the Diamondbacks, but there are reasons to believe that they could be the value side in Tuesday’s opener. David Peterson gets the start for New York, and while he’s had strong surface results, there are some signs of regression ahead. Peterson is allowing a lot of hard contact and carries a WHIP of 1.43. The Diamondbacks, despite struggling slightly against lefties so far this year, were one of the league’s best last season and still show strong underlying metrics.
Eduardo Rodriguez starts for the D-backs and has been better than his 4.91 ERA suggests. His strikeout and walk numbers are strong, and he has endured some bad luck with runners on base. If that evens out, he could be in for a strong outing. Rodriguez is a pitch to contact and ground-ball type pitcher and he’ll look to do that against a red-hot Mets offense. The Mets just exploded for 19 runs in a game against Washington, but they have averaged just 4.23 runs at home and face a tougher test today. Citi Field has leaned toward the under (9-4 this season), and with 2 lefties on the mound and both pitchers capable of limiting damage, runs could be harder to come by.
Diamondbacks vs Mets prediction: New York Team Total Under 4.5 (-125) available at time of publishing. Playable to -140.
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Justin Ziolkowski
5 of the Diamondbacks' last 7 road trips to the Mets have gone Over the total.
The Mets have won 17 of their last 20 games at home.
The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in their last 6 games with a rest advantage over their opponents.
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