Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/01/25

The Diamondbacks and Mets will wrap up a 3-game set at Citi Field this afternoon, with both teams aiming to secure a series win. The Mets are arguably one of the best teams in baseball this season, largely thanks to their elite pitching. Arizona has had a slow start to the season, but they’re still more than capable of producing runs in this matchup as they’re 4th in the league in OPS (.767). For today’s Mets vs Diamondbacks prediction, I’m leaning towards the home team.

One major edge for the Mets today is home-field advantage, as they’re 13-2 at Citi Field this season. Another advantage is on the mound, as Kodi Senga gets the start. Senga is 3-1 this season with a 1.26 ERA and in 28.2 innings pitched. Senga has struck out 25 and has given up just 1 home run. Zac Gallen has struggled all season and he’s set to take the mound for the Diamondbacks. Gallen is 1-4 with a 5.57 through 6 starts. In those 6 starts, Gallen has thrown for 32.1 innings and has given up 5 homers and walked 15.

The third advantage the Mets have today are their bats. The Mets are averaging 5.6 runs per game in their last 14 games with an OPS of .823. For the Diamondbacks, they’re slightly behind the Mets, averaging 5 runs per game in that span with an OPS of .733. Overall, the Mets have a huge pitching advantage in this matchup and I expect Gallen to fall behind early on and the Mets bullpen will shut down the Diamondbacks late in the game. Taking all of this into consideration, I’ll be backing the Mets on the money line as my best bet of the day. 

Diamondbacks vs Mets prediction: Mets ML (-160) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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