Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 08/28/25

After the first 2 games of this series stayed under the total, Thursday’s matchup could be a different story. The pitching matchup in this one pits Colorado’s Kyle Freeland against Houston’s Jason Alexander. Freeland has struggled all season, as he owns a less-than-ideal 5.31 ERA and 1.52 WHIP through 125.1 innings. Even when pitching away from Coors Field, he sports a 4.56 ERA and .271 BAA on the season. The Houston offense has been fairly up-and-down in recent weeks, but it should be able to put together a strong offensive day at the plate against Freeland.

Alexander has been a solid addition to Houston’s bullpen since coming over from the Athletics in June. He owns a 2.72 ERA in 43 innings with his new team, but can that success last? His MLB sample size of 30 games suggests not, as he has a career ERA of 5.07 and WHIP of 1.37 across 3 seasons. He has found something so far in Houston, but at age 32, regression could be coming soon. The Rockies were shut down by Framber Valdez on Wednesday, but they should have a better time against Alexander. Consider a small play on the over in this one.

Rockies vs Astros prediction: Over 9 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

If you’re looking for a new sportsbook, check out Bet365, the world’s #1 sportsbook. They have an amazing sign-up offer where you can INSTANTLY receive $200 in bonus bets from a $5 wager, regardless of whether that bet wins or loses! There’s no catch, it’s really that simple. Join Bet365 right now ⏰ in time to fade or follow our experts’ Rockies vs Astros predictions.