Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 08/22/25

Both the Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers have won 4 of their last 5 entering this fresh series with Ryan Bergert (2.75 ERA, 1.13 WHIP) on the mound for the visitors and Casey Mize (3.63 ERA, 1.24 WHIP) getting the start for Detroit. I expect both offenses to continue flourishing in this matchup as Kansas City primarily has been on a tear, posting a top-5 mark in wRC+ and wOBA over the last 14 days.

While Bergert has been solid in his three starts since joining the Royals at the trade deadline, he is severely outperforming his xERA mark of 4.17 which suggests regression is imminent. Mize has had his moments this year, but he’s surrendered an average of 3+ earned runs over his last 5 starts and falls in the 22nd percentile in pitching run value. With all things considered, I’ll take the over in this matchup.

Royals vs Tigers prediction: Over 8.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number or better.

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