Kansas City Royals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 09/12/25

Kansas City’s Michael Lorenzen and Philadelphia’s Walker Buehler are set to battle on the mound as the Royals visit the Phillies on Friday night. Neither pitcher has been dominant this season. Since returning from the IL in mid-August, Lorenzen has posted a 4.74 ERA over 5 starts. On the season, Lorenzen has struggled on the road, as his ERA jumps from 3.90 at home to 5.22 on the road. The Phillies boast a well-rounded, powerful lineup that is capable of giving him some trouble.

Buehler is set to make his Phillies debut after getting released by the Red Sox on August 29. He posted a 5.45 ERA through 23 outings with Boston before his release. Perhaps the change of scenery gets him back on track, but for now, his struggles this season don’t warrant much confidence. The Philadelphia bullpen continues to struggle with consistency, as the offense has been the main reason for Philadelphia winning 7 of its last 8 games. All in all, this could be a high-scoring affair. Look to the over.

Royals vs Phillies prediction: Over 9 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to -120.

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