Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, Odds and Picks for Friday, 07/18/25

The Minnesota Twins hand the ball to Chris Paddack, who enters this matchup looking to build on a season that’s shown flashes of promise. Despite a 3-8 record, Paddack owns a manageable 4.95 ERA and 1.28 WHIP across 100.0 innings, with 70 strikeouts to his name. The right-hander has been gradually regaining his form after multiple injuries, including Tommy John surgery, and his command has improved in recent outings. Paddack’s deep pitch mix allows him to keep hitters off balance, and against a Rockies lineup that’s struggled for consistency, he’s in a favorable spot. With Minnesota’s offense supplying steady production, the Twins are well-positioned to back Paddack and grab a road win.

Colorado counters with Kyle Freeland, who has endured a rough 2025 campaign. The lefty has posted a 1-10 record with a 5.44 ERA and 1.59 WHIP and despite returning from a stint on the injured list, he has struggled to find rhythm. Pitching at Coors Field hasn’t helped, and while advanced metrics hint he might perform better elsewhere, Freeland has yet to show that upside this season. With the Rockies also ranking near the bottom in defensive efficiency and run support, Freeland faces a tough challenge against a Twins squad trending upward. I see this as a system play, just keep fading Colorado especially in night games…shouldn’t stray away now.

Twins vs Rockies prediction: Minnesota ML (-160) available at time of publishing. Playable at that price.

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