New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 06/21/25

The Mets and Phillies are set for a Saturday night showdown at Citizens Bank Park on FOX. Following a strong month of April, New York’s Griffin Canning posted a 4.09 ERA in May and owns a 5.74 ERA through 3 starts in June. He is coming off a start in which he allowed 6 earned runs in 4.1 innings of work against the Rays, and walks are becoming an issue. The 29-year-old right-hander has issued 16 walks over his last 5 starts. Philadelphia’s offense is rolling right now, and if Canning gives the Phillies any free bases, they should be ready to capitalize. Canning faced the Phillies back on April 22, tossing 5 innings of 1-run ball on 7 hits. It would be a bit surprising to see him hold them in check again in this one.

Mick Abel is slated to get the start on the mound for the Phillies. Abel has looked solid through his first 4 MLB starts, as he owns a 2.21 ERA and 1.03 WHIP through 20.1 innings. However, he is still rather inexperienced at the big-league level, and although the New York offense is struggling right now, a veteran lineup could have a slight advantage over the 23-year-old rookie right-hander. Consider the over in this one.

Mets vs Phillies prediction: Over 9.5 (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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