New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 08/03/25

The New York Yankees take on the Miami Marlins on Sunday. Surprisingly, the Marlins have won the last 2 games — including a shut out last night. On the mound are Luis Gil of the Yankees and Edward Cabrera of the Marlins. Gil will make his season debut after a lat strain. In his most recent Triple-A start he pitched 4.1 innings. This leads me to believe that it will be a short start for Gil in this one. This means that they will be relying on the bullpen more, which can be problematic. As we saw in the first game against Miami, the bullpen squandered a 9-4 lead to end up losing 13-12. A ninth-inning win followed by a shutout gives the Marlins tons of momentum coming into this one.

For the Marlins, Cabrera has a 4-5 record with a 3.35 ERA on the season. These statistics change a little when he is at home. In Miami he has only given up 4 runs over his last 5 starts — which have consisted of him pitching 31.2 innings. These home numbers are impressive for any pitcher, especially when they have been against teams such as the Padres, Brewers and Phillies. This leads me to believe that he may have another good day against a Yankees team that was shut out last night and is batting .230 over the past 7 games. Overall, I am not thrilled with the warmup that Gil has had coming into this one. I feel that a short start for him will put the shaky bullpen on the mound for too many innings. I am going to trust Cabrera and roll with the momentum the Marlins bring into this one.

Yankees vs Marlins prediction: Miami ML (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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