Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 09/07/25

The Seattle Mariners and Atlanta Braves finish off a series on Sunday afternoon, and they are the early ROKU game, throwing out the first pitch at noon. The teams have split the series so far, and the Mariners won on Saturday by a score of 10-2. The Mariners are struggling to hang in there in the playoff race, while the Braves have started playing batter baseball over the past few weeks as key players have started to get healthy again. On Sunday, we have two struggling should-be aces, and the recent form for both guys suggests we could be in for some scoring. I am going to play the game total over 9 in this spot.

Luis Castillo and Spencer Strider are both far better pitchers than their recent results. Castillo is normally an elite second-half pitcher, but not this year. He has had 4 straight bad outings that are either short, give up a lot of runs, or both. Those 4 starts have spanned 17 innings, and Castillo has allowed 19 runs and 6 homeruns in that stretch. Strider has been a little better over his last two starts, but that is following a 3-start stretch where he allowed 20 runs. He, too, has a homerun problem, allowing 8 homers in his last 5 starts. There is a good chance that both guys could struggle again on Sunday, but even if only one of them is bad and the other is more pedestrian, that should still be enough to get us over the total. I am fading a pair of struggling pitchers here and taking the over.

Mariners vs Braves Prediction: Over 9 (-105) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.