Texas Rangers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Tuesday, 09/02/25

The Texas Rangers turn to left hander Jacob Latz, who has spent most of the season bouncing between relief work and spot starts. Latz carries a respectable 3.13 ERA and 61 strikeouts across 63.1 innings, but the deeper metrics show some vulnerability. His 42.7% hard-hit rate and nearly 90 mph average exit velocity suggest that when hitters square him up, damage follows. While he’s shown progress limiting lineups early, prolonged exposure typically works against him, making it difficult to keep runs off the board against potent lineups. The Rangers’ offense, meanwhile, has shown signs of life with consistent contributions from Marcus Semien, Corey Seager, and Adolis Garcia, and they remain capable of quickly flipping games with extra base power even when their pitching staff varies.

On the other side, the Arizona Diamondbacks hand the ball to Nabil Crismatt, who is making just his second start of the season. Crismatt has excelled in relief, holding a 1.84 ERA across 14.2 innings, showing an ability to induce weak contact with a hard hit rate under 25%. However, his lack of starting experience raises questions about how he’ll handle facing a lineup multiple times, particularly against a Rangers team that can grind at-bats. The Diamondbacks’ offense has been thriving behind Corbin Carroll, Ketel Marte, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr., giving them enough firepower to support a starter who may not work deep into the game. With neither pitcher projecting to dominate and both offenses in good form, this matchup sets up as one where scoring opportunities will be plentiful.

Rangers vs DBacks Prediction: Over 9.5 (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable to that number