Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Odds and Picks for Tuesday, 04/29/25
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Nationals vs Phillies Pickswise Expert Predictions
The Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies begin a set of 3 games on Tuesday. The Phillies were off on Monday after taking 2 of 3 from the Cubs. The Nats got blasted by the Mets, 19-5 on Monday, but they did split the 4-game series. On Tuesday we have a terrific pitching matchup with MacKenzie Gore facing Zack Wheeler. But we also have an ideal hitting day with temps in the upper 70s and a forecasted 17 mph wind blowing out. I think this is a sneaky spot to play the over with 2 great pitchers keeping the run total down. My Nats vs Phillies pick is Over 8.5.
More than anything, this is a bet against 2 bad bullpens. In fact, these have been the 2 worst bullpens in baseball, with the Nats dragging a 7.30 ERA and the Phillies at 5.28. As much as anything, I am betting against 2 awful bullpens on a very windy day. As for the starters, Gore has been electric so far — punching out 7+ hitters in 5 of his 6 starts and twice fanning 13. But he has also given up at least 2 runs in every outing but on — Opening Day against the Phillies, when he blanked them over 6.0 innings. Wheeler is having a similar season. He has struck out a bunch of dudes, but he has given up more runs than we would expect. His best start of the season was probably also Opening Day against the Nats. If the starters leave the game in the sixth inning with a 2-2 score, I think the bullpens can get us over the total from there. Let’s bet against bad bullpens, especially on windy days, until they get their acts together.
Nationals vs Phillies prediction: Over 8.5 (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.
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Chad Hartsock
The Phillies have won 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with losing records.
With a rest advantage over their opponents, the Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 8 of their last 9 games.
The Over is 7-2-1 in the Nationals' divisional matchups this season.
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