NBA Picks

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SGA opted to sit out last night’s OKC game at Chicago, and the Thunder still won by 8 points despite shooting 24% from three and getting outrebounded 53-51 on the glass. With the MVP back tonight, those types of numbers cannot happen again, and a team like the Knicks is far too experienced to lose a game when the opponent shoots like that. The defending champs have had the edge in head-to-head meetings, winning 7 of the last 8, and they are also on a 7-game win streak at Madison Square Garden. It’s been 7 games since the Thunder shot 50% from the field in a game, and without their 2nd-best player in Jalen Williams, they’ll have to be on top of their game to beat the Knicks here.

Unlike the Thunder, who are 3-7 SU in back-to-back scenarios this season, the Knicks have a winning record of 6-4 SU in 10 such games. Jalen Brunson and company will be encouraged after yet another dominant win over the Toronto Raptors last night, as they cruised to a 4-game regular season sweep with a 111-95 victory. The fact that only Brunson logged more than 32 minutes from all the Knicks players should also help, and fatigue could very well be a factor when you have a matchup between 2 teams playing with no rest. Another factor to consider here is the Knicks’ advantage in the rebounding department, where they rank 6th in rebounds allowed, compared to the Thunder, who are 25th.

It takes a lot of courage to bet against the champs, especially when they’re on a 7-game win streak at MSG. But after seeing what the Knicks did to the Spurs last Sunday at home, I have a lot of trust in this team. SGA, Isaiah Hartenstein and Ajay Mitchell are all questionable to play, while Jalen Williams is out. The Knicks are only without Miles Bridges, and I expect New York to deliver a statement win tonight.

Thunder vs Knicks prediction: Knicks ML (+155) available at time of publishing. Playable to +130.

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With 4 wins on the bounce, you’d think the Hawks are finally back to their late-November form, which got them to a 13-8 SU start to the season. However, with those 4 wins coming against the likes of Portland, Washington (twice) and Brooklyn, I would hold off on the praise until they beat someone more relevant. Wednesday’s opponent, the Milwaukee Bucks, are an ideal test for Jalen Johnson and company, as this game could have a major impact on who gets the 10th seed in the Eastern Conference. The 2 teams are separated by 4 games, but a potential Bucks win trims that down to 3 games and also decides the regular season series in their favor.

Pressure is building on the Bucks following their 3rd straight defeat. The hope of catching the play-in tournament is still alive, but just barely. The only thing keeping it going was the return of Giannis Antetokounmpo, who has publicly said that he is not giving up on this season. The thing that should give the Bucks hope here is their home record against the Hawks, which reads 13 wins in 18 such games. After he scored just 19 points in his first game back against Boston, a lot more is expected out of Antetokounmpo here. The 8 most recent meetings have seen him average 29.4 points, 12.6 rebounds and 7 assists per game.

This is basically a do-or-die situation for the Bucks, and I am here for it. A win for the home team would be a massive morale boost for the remaining 20 or so games, and with their leader back and finally being healthy, I think they can pull it off at home. Atlanta is the definition of mediocrity this season — on the road they’re 15th in offensive rating and 13th in defensive rating, while having a negative Net Rating of –0.2 points. I’ll go with Giannis and his Bucks to pull off the win here.

Hawks vs Bucks prediction: Bucks -1.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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