Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/12/25

Detroit enters this rematch with momentum after a 120-112 win over Atlanta last week, where Cade Cunningham posted 25 points and 10 assists and Jalen Johnson added 23 points and 10 rebounds. The Pistons’ offense has been one of the more efficient units in the East, averaging nearly 119 points per game with strong interior scoring and balanced production across their starting group. Detroit has also performed noticeably better at home, executing well in the half court and controlling pace when they build early leads. Their physicality and ability to generate high quality looks late in games have consistently given them an edge over teams that struggle defensively inside — a weakness Atlanta has shown repeatedly in this matchup.

The Hawks have flashed competitiveness in spurts, yet lacking consistency. This including a 132-130 overtime win in their first meeting, but Atlanta has scored just 105 points per game against Detroit in regulation play this season. Their turnovers, inconsistent rim protection, and second half lapses have been recurring problems, especially when Detroit dictates tempo. In last week’s matchup, Atlanta was favored by 9.5 yet escaped with only a one point win, a performance that suggested Detroit was the more stable side despite the line. Given Detroit’s stronger offensive consistency, interior advantage, and the matchup trends leaning heavily their way, the Pistons are well positioned to cover this time.

Hawks vs Pistons Prediction: Pistons -7.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -8