Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/03/26

The Boston Celtics enter this matchup at 31-18, firmly near the top of the Eastern Conference behind a balanced, efficient attack that averages 116.1 points per game while allowing just 109.1. Jaylen Brown has been the focal point, pouring in roughly 29.4 PPG, with strong secondary contributions from Derrick White and Payton Pritchard helping Boston stretch the floor and control tempo. The Celtics have been reliable away from home and remain one of the league’s more disciplined defensive teams, though recent games have shown occasional lapses late when opponents can match their physicality and shot making. An interesting stat that has haunted the Celtics for multiple years now is their 3rd quarter play. In quarters 1, 2 and 4 the Celtics have the top-rated offense. However, in the 3rd quarter, they rank just 17th. If the Celtics go up big at halftime, you could also look for a Dallas spread live bet.

Dallas comes in at 19-30, a disappointing record that masks some competitive underlying play. The Mavericks score about 114.1 PPG but surrender 116.6, resulting in a negative point differential that reflects inconsistency rather than complete dysfunction. Rookie Cooper Flagg has been a bright spot, averaging approximately 19.8 PPG and providing Dallas with a legitimate scoring anchor. Injuries remain a concern, with Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, and Anthony Davis all sidelined, forcing Dallas to rely heavily on young players and role shooters. Despite those absences, the Mavericks have shown an ability to defend their home floor and keep games close, particularly when pace slows and Boston is forced into half court possessions. Given Dallas’ competitiveness at home and Boston’s tendency to win without separation, there’s value for the Mavericks.

Celtics vs Mavericks Prediction: Mavericks +6.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +5.5

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