Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/19/26

Chase CenterNBCSB, NBCSBA
Celtics
Celtics
Today
Warriors
Warriors
WWWLW
Last 5
LWLWL
35-19Record29-26
32-22-0ATS Record26-28-1
21-33O/U Record32-23
Golden State Warriors

Celtics vs Warriors Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
BOS Celtics -5.5(-110)

The Boston Celtics (35-19) enter this matchup fully healthy and playing solid basketball, winning 7 of their last 10 while allowing just around 100.2 points per game during that stretch. Boston averages 107.3 ppg on 44.8% shooting, leaning on balanced scoring and defensive discipline rather than pure pace. Jaylen Brown is averaging 21.6 ppg and 6.0 rpg over the last 10 games, while Nikola Vucevic is contributing 16.7 points and 9.0 rebounds per contest — giving Boston reliable interior production to complement its perimeter attack. The looming storyline, however, is the Jayson Tatum return sweepstakes. While he remains sidelined (Achilles’), speculation about a potential comeback over the next few weeks could either energize the locker room or become an unnecessary distraction. For now, Boston’s depth, ball movement and defensive consistency have kept the team steady.

The Golden State Warriors (29-26) will be without Stephen Curry (knee soreness), and his absence significantly impacts its offensive ceiling. Golden State’s offensive rating drops from roughly 119.3 with Curry on the floor to 106.4 without him, and its 3-point efficiency suffers accordingly. The Warriors are just 4-6 over their last 10 games, struggling to generate consistent half-court offense even as veterans like Draymond Green and Al Horford try to stabilize the rotation. Without Curry’s gravity and late-game shot creation, Golden State becomes far more reliant on role players to manufacture offense. With Boston fully healthy and more cohesive on both ends, this feels like a spot where the Celtics’ structure and reliability win out.

Celtics vs Warriors prediction: Boston -5.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -6.

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Top Trends
Game Totals

The Over is 17-11 in the Warriors' home games this season.

Point Spread

The Warriors have failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 games (80%) as an underdog.

Money Line

The Celtics have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games.

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