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Hello Millions
Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/12/26

Gainbridge FieldhousePeacock
Celtics
Celtics
Today
Pacers
Pacers
WWLWL
Last 5
LLLWW
24-14Record8-31
23-15-0ATS Record20-19-0
18-20O/U Record15-24
Indiana Pacers

Celtics vs Pacers Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
IND Pacers +5.5(-105)

Boston has already handled Indiana twice this season, and that’s exactly why this spot is more dangerous than it looks. The Celtics are the clear superior team and are viewed as a legitimate playoff threat, while the Pacers have spent the season near the bottom of the standings. That contrast pushes the market toward automatically backing Boston — but scheduling and motivation suggest this is a classic “sandwich” situation.

Boston is coming off a frustrating home loss to San Antonio, a game they led in the fourth quarter before falling by five. Now they head into Indianapolis in a game they’ve dominated all season, while knowing a much higher-profile matchup with Miami looms next on Thursday as they begin a road trip. This is the type of situation where a contender can show up flat: emotional hangover from a tough loss behind them, and a marquee tilt ahead. Indiana, meanwhile, has quietly won two straight and should approach this like a postseason opportunity. For a bottom-feeder, games against elite opponents are statement chances — effort level and focus tend to rise, especially at home. The Pacers don’t need to be better for 48 minutes; they just need to keep it tight long enough for pressure to flip onto Boston. With points in hand, you’re betting on motivation, situation, and potential complacency — all of which favor the underdog. This is the type of game that can even flirt with a true upset. We’re happy to grab the points.

Celtics vs Pacers prediction: Pacers +5.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Napier Montgomery
Photo of Napier Montgomery

Napier Montgomery

College football handicapper for Pickswise, specializing in college football, soccer and college basketball. Much prefer betting on the smaller/forgotten games than the big matchups, where the lines are a lot more vulnerable. PhD in Victorian Literature, putting my skills of the written word to the test with betting analysis.
Read more about Napier Montgomery
Top Trends
Money Line

The Celtics have won 13 of their last 16 matchups against Eastern Conference teams.

Game Totals

7 of the Pacers' last 9 home games stayed under the Total.

Point Spread

The Celtics have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games away at teams with winning records.

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