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Celtics vs Heat Prediction, Odds and NBA Picks for Today, 01/15/26

Updated: 5:57 AM ET Jan 15, 2026

Kaseya CenterNBCSB, FDSNSU

Celtics

7:40 PM ETToday

Heat

WLWLL	Last 5	WLLLW
24-15	Record	21-19
23-16-0	ATS Record	23-17-0
18-21	O/U Record	19-21

Celtics vs Heat Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick

BOS Celtics -2.5(-105)

Reasoning

The Celtics offense has plummeted in their last 3 of 4 games, culminating with back-to-back losses to San Antonio and Indiana in games in which they’ve scored under 100 points both times. In the game against Indy they connected on just 9 threes, the lowest amount made over the past 10 games. Most of those numbers should see a bump up against a somewhat defensively limited Miami Heat team. Boston did win the first meeting 129-116 about a month ago at home.

The Heat have also seen a drop-off in production on the offensive end, recording 2 games of under 100 point scored in the past 7 days or so. But if we are to judge them by their 2 most recent performances, that slump is behind them. On Wednesday they beat the Phoenix Suns 127-121 shooting over 50% for the 2nd game in a row. They do have a couple of minor injuries to a few rotational players, but more importantly Bam Adebayo and Norman Powell are both healthy and playing at a high level right now.

This match-up has been a struggle for Miami. The Celtics have won 8 straight at the Kaseya Center, they’re also 7-1 ATS/SU in 8 meetings overall. Boston really thrives in games against opponents who play at a fast pace, so I’m expecting their offense to wake up a little here. Go with Brown and co. to cover in this game.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Predictions: Celtics -2.5 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Show Bio

Long-time NBA fan, following the game closely for 21 years now. Joined the Pickswise writing staff for the 2020-21 season and have given out winning picks since. Hopefully we can make some money together! Oh, and I firmly believe Lebron James is not one of the two best basketball players of all time. Yeah, I said it. For Filip Tomic media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.

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Point Spread

The Celtics have covered in 12 of their 20 road games this season.

Money Line

The Celtics have won 4 of their last 5 matchups against Eastern Conference Southeast Division teams

Game Totals

The Heat's last 5 games at home versus the Celtics have stayed under the Total

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