Charlotte Hornets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/29/26

Charlotte enters this matchup playing some of its most controlled basketball of the season. The Hornets are averaging 116.2 points per game, led by LaMelo Ball (19.1 PPG, 7.6 APG) and Miles Bridges, with steady contributions from Kon Knueppel and the supporting cast. However, Charlotte plays at a middling pace of roughly 97.5 possessions per game, and that tempo slows even more on short rest. That has translated directly to results, as the Hornets are an impressive 9-1 to the under on the second night of a back to back, consistently leaning on half court execution and defensive focus rather than pushing the pace.

Dallas continues to search for offensive consistency, particularly against teams that are willing to grind possessions. The Mavericks shoot a respectable 47.2% from the field, but that efficiency hasn’t always translated into sustained scoring runs, especially when turnovers and late clock possessions pile up. Dallas has struggled to maintain rhythm across all four quarters, often allowing games to bog down into slower stretches where points come at a premium. With both teams favoring controlled tempo, Charlotte’s strong under trend on no rest, and Dallas’ uneven offensive flow, this matchup sets up for a lower scoring outcome than the number suggests.

Hornets vs Mavericks Prediction: Under 227 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 225

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