Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/05/25

The Mavericks enter tonight’s matchup as heavy underdogs, but there’s reason to believe they can keep this within the number. Their earlier meeting with OKC — a 101-94 Thunder win — showed that this young roster can compete with the Thunder’s pace and physicality when locked in. Anthony Davis had 26 points and PJ Washington grabbed 9 rebounds giving Dallas the blueprint for how to stay competitive: control the glass, limit turnovers, and make OKC work in the half court. With developing pieces like Cooper Flagg, Ryan Nembhard, and Max Christie showing steady improvement, Dallas has grown more comfortable in tight contests and has shown it can manufacture enough offense in spurts to avoid falling into long droughts.

OKC is still the more polished, explosive, and well rounded team — especially at home — but the Thunder’s style leaves occasional openings for backdoor covers. They can struggle against teams that slow down the game and play physically inside, which plays into Dallas’ strengths when Washington and the supporting cast are active and engaged. The Thunder will likely control most key stretches, but the Mavericks’ effort level, rebounding edge potential, and better defensive sets suggest this spread may be too inflated.

Mavericks vs Thunder prediction: Dallas Mavericks +15.5 (-110) a the time of publishing. Playable at that number or better.

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