Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/08/25

Revenge angles get tossed around casually in sports betting, but rarely do they carry the weight people think. Dallas may want to “get even” with Washington, but nothing about this matchup suggests the Mavericks deserve to be favored. In fact, the number itself tells the real story: it’s short — very short — for a Dallas team facing a Wizards squad that just lost by 30 and surrendered nearly 150 points last night. Normally, when a team gets obliterated like that, you’d see an inflated correction the other way. The market typically overreacts. That hasn’t happened here. Washington hasn’t won or covered in seven straight, has been priced as a double-digit dog in five straight games, and has become one of the least desirable teams to back in the NBA. Yet the books refuse to lay a big number with Dallas.

Why? Because the Mavericks still haven’t beaten anyone convincingly enough to earn trust. Their résumé is razor-thin. They’ve fallen flat in winnable games and has shown major defensive vulnerabilities. Washington, despite its ugly recent stretch, already owns a blueprint to beat this team. Washington is overdue for a punch-back performance, and this is exactly the kind of opponent that enables it. This is a live dog, priced like one, and carrying the matchup tools to make Dallas uncomfortable again. We fade the Mavs until they prove otherwise.

Mavericks vs. Wizards prediction: Wizards +145 (Money Line) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.