Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/08/25

Revenge angles get tossed around casually in sports betting, but rarely do they carry the weight people think. Dallas may want to “get even” with Washington, but nothing about this matchup suggests the Mavericks deserve to be favored. In fact, the number itself tells the real story: it’s short — very short — for a Dallas team facing a Wizards squad that just lost by 30 and surrendered nearly 150 points last night. Normally when a team gets obliterated like that, you see an inflated correction the other way. The market typically overreacts. That hasn’t happened in this case. Washington hasn’t won or covered in 7 straight, has been priced as a double-digit ‘dog in 5 straight games and has become one of the least desirable teams to back in the NBA. Yet the books refuse to lay a big number with Dallas.

Why? Because the Mavericks still haven’t beaten anyone convincingly enough to earn trust. Their résumé is razor-thin. They have fallen flat in winnable games and have shown major defensive vulnerabilities. Washington, despite its ugly recent stretch, already owns a blueprint to beat this team. It is overdue for a punch-back performance, and this is exactly the kind of opponent that enables it. This is a live ‘dog and priced like one, and carrying the matchup tools to make Dallas uncomfortable again. I’m fading the Mavs until they prove otherwise.

Mavericks vs Wizards prediction: Washington ML (+145) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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