HomeNBANBA PredictionsDenver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Odds and Picks

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/03/25

Updated: 10:37 AM ET Dec 03, 2025

Gainbridge FieldhouseALT, FSDNIN

Nuggets

7:10 PM ETToday

Pacers

LWLWL	Last 5	LLWWL
14-6	Record	4-17
12-8-0	ATS Record	11-10-0
13-7	O/U Record	8-13

Nuggets vs Pacers Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick

IND Pacers +7.5(-110)

Reasoning

Indiana enters this matchup fresh off an ugly loss to Cleveland, a game where they closed as a 6.5-point underdog and were never truly competitive. The Pacers trailed by as much as 21. Under normal market mechanics, a defeat of that magnitude should push the next line upward, especially when facing an elite opponent like Denver. Yet, the number barely budged. That’s the first and most important clue from the market for this matchup.

Denver’s profile here actually contributes to the value on Indiana. The Nuggets were also beaten soundly a couple of nights ago, falling by 10 at home to Dallas while allowing 131 points. That type of defensive collapse is unusual for a team with Denver’s pedigree, and it introduces doubt into their ability to travel and immediately snap back into form. A true “bounce-back spot” for Denver would normally prompt a steeper line, especially against a Pacers team trending in the wrong direction. But that didn’t happen. And yet, Indiana is still undervalued while Denver is priced at reputation rather than form. The market has already hinted at the correct side, and it’s the underdog.

Nuggets vs Pacers prediction: Pacers +7.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to the +7.

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Show Bio

College football handicapper for Pickswise, specializing in college football, soccer and college basketball. Much prefer betting on the smaller/forgotten games than the big matchups, where the lines are a lot more vulnerable. PhD in Victorian Literature, putting my skills of the written word to the test with betting analysis.

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Game Totals

The Over is 13-7 in the Nuggets' and the Pacers' last 10 games combined.

Money Line

The Nuggets are on a streak of 7 straight road wins

Point Spread

The Pacers are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games at home.

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