Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/24/25

Memphis enters this matchup buried in negative narratives — sub-.500 record, inconsistent execution and the ongoing Ja Morant cloud that hovers over the franchise. Denver, meanwhile, sits at the opposite end of the spectrum. The Nuggets look every bit like the perennial powerhouse they have been in recent seasons, cruising at a .750 clip while displaying the efficiency, discipline and continuity that make them one of the league’s most respected tickets. Those contrasting storylines create a predictable pricing environment where Denver becomes the “safe” side and Memphis the risky one.

But the matchup tells a different story. The Grizzlies play with pace — top 10 in tempo — and that alone is significant against a Denver team that sits in the bottom third of the league in possessions per game. When a slower team meets an accelerator, the game tilts toward the group capable of pushing rhythm. More possessions mean more opportunities to score, and that is how Memphis can stay in contact — especially as a mid-range underdog. Denver may be the better team, but Memphis’ tempo is the counterweight that keeps this competitive. If the Grizzlies convert their additional looks, they can go score-for-score long enough to get home — and maybe even threaten an upset.

Nuggets vs Grizzlies prediction: Memphis +7.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +7.

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