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Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/29/25

Kaseya CenterALT2, FDSNSU
Nuggets
Nuggets
Today
Heat
Heat
LWLWL
Last 5
LLLWW
22-9Record17-15
18-13-0ATS Record18-14-0
21-10O/U Record15-17
Miami Heat

Nuggets vs Heat Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
DEN Nuggets -2.5(-110)

The numbers that Nikola Jokic is posting these days almost seem unreal at times. He just had another monster 34 points, 21 rebounds and 12 assists in a losing effort as the Nuggets dropped a close one to Orlando. It wasn’t the best of ways to start off a 7-game road trip, Denver led by as many as 17 points in that one and was ahead for 74% of playing time. Allowing a team to come back like that isn’t something we’re accustomed to seeing from such an experienced roster like Denver’s, but here we are. Perhaps the Nuggets can get back on track against Miami, they’ve had their number over the years winning 11 straight games and covering the spread in 13 of 16 meetings overall and in 8 straight visits to Kaseya Center.

After two wins over the Hawks and Pacers, can we really say that the offensive struggles of the Miami Heat are behind them? Scoring 126 and 142 points is great, but I’d much rather see them do it against a top tier defense. There is still so much doubt around this team, especially with Bam Adebayo potentially missing this game with a back issue. Tyler Herro has been ruled out due to a toe problem, this entire season has been one to forget from his perspective as injuries have severely limited his playing time. The Heat haven’t been a very reliable team in home games lately, covering the spread just twice in 8 games.

The Nuggets won the first meeting fairly convincingly at the start of November, leading by as many as 17 points at one point. This game is all about them bouncing back and not allowing their road trip to get off to a 0-2 start. Miami just hasn’t been able to figure them out over the years and I’m afraid this won’t be the day they do it. Go with Denver.

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Predictions: Nuggets -2.5 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Filip Tomic
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Filip Tomic

Long-time NBA fan, following the game closely for 21 years now. Joined the Pickswise writing staff for the 2020-21 season and have given out winning picks since. Hopefully we can make some money together! Oh, and I firmly believe Lebron James is not one of the two best basketball players of all time. Yeah, I said it. For Filip Tomic media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Money Line

The Heat have lost 7 of their last 10 games.

Point Spread

The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 road games.

Game Totals

The Over is 7-3 in the Nuggets' last 10 games.

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