HomeNBANBA PredictionsGolden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds and Picks

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/22/26

Updated: 9:53 AM ET Jan 22, 2026

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Warriors

7:40 PM ETToday

Mavericks

WWWWL	Last 5	WLWWW
25-20	Record	18-26
23-21-1	ATS Record	20-23-1
27-18	O/U Record	21-23

Vote on who will win!

Warriors vs Mavericks Pickswise Expert Predictions

Game Totals Pick

Under 232.0(-110)

Reasoning

The under is the best play here because this matchup is built for uneven scoring, and totals don’t fail because teams never score — they fail because one team can’t score consistently. That’s the most likely shape for Dallas. When a team lacks reliable advantage creation, possessions don’t flow naturally. Instead, there is a potential for longer cold spells and the type of scoring droughts that quietly bury an over. The Mavs may find a hot 5-minute stretch, but it’s the empty stretches that matter, and Dallas is far more prone to them overall.

Golden State introduces another reason to prefer the under: their scoring profile is inherently volatile. The Warriors will take threes in volume, but clearing a mid-230s number requires them not only to shoot a lot of threes — it requires them to hit at a high clip, especially if Dallas’ offense is left at home. If Golden State has even a slightly off shooting night, the over once again stands in jeopardy. Backing the under here is fading the idea that both teams deliver smooth offense for 4 quarters. Dallas’ likely droughts, plus Golden State’s three-point volatility makes the over the riskier side.

Warriors vs Mavericks prediction: Under 232 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to the number.

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Show Bio

College football handicapper for Pickswise, specializing in college football, soccer and college basketball. Much prefer betting on the smaller/forgotten games than the big matchups, where the lines are a lot more vulnerable. PhD in Victorian Literature, putting my skills of the written word to the test with betting analysis.

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Game Totals

The Mavericks' last 3 games at home versus the Warriors have stayed under the Total.

Money Line

The Mavericks have a losing record this season (18-26) but they have won 4 of their last 5 games.

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