Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/30/25

Game 4 of this series was the highest scoring one of this series so far with the two teams tallying 215 points total. But don’t let that fool you, the intensity on both ends was the highest it’s been in the 4 games played so far. Jimmy Butler returned from his injury and carried the Warriors with 27 points and 6 assists, while Brandin Podziemski stepped up and helped with 26 as Stephen Curry struggled to get shots up as the Rockets defense centered around slowing him down. Wednesday’s game will see the Warriors try to close this series with another win in Houston and naturally it’ll be the toughest game of the series yet.

Playing Alperen Sengun and Steven Adams at the same time for extended minutes was a stroke of genius from Ime Udoka on Monday, the Rockets were in it until the very end when they once again crumbled under the pressure. Free throw shooting is something that’ll need to be addressed ahead of Game 5, they shot just 19 for 31 from the charity stripe which ultimately cost them the game. Turnovers were also a factor with 13 committed, compared to just 8 by the Warriors. But it all comes down to Jalen Green and how he performs. For the 3rd time in this series he finished scoring single digit points, he’s now done that 6 times over his last 7 games overall. What’s even more concerning is the fact that he attempted only 8 shots total, his confidence is just gone at this point.

Wednesday’s game is a do-or-die scenario for the Rockets, they need their crowd to carry them in order to get this thing back to San Francisco. At 29-12 SU they were one of the better home teams during the regular season, in their last 13 games at Toyota Center they’ve lost only 3 times. Yes, the Warriors have had their number so far, but with the stakes being so high that’ll bring out the best out of this young team. Also, Jimmy Butler logged 40 mins total just days after falling on his back, he might not have enough time to recover here. I’ll give the Rockets the benefit of the doubt and back them to win and force Game 6.

Warriors vs Rockets Predictions Game 5: Rockets ML is available at -190 odds at time of publishing.