Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/25/26

The Golden State Warriors enter this Western Conference matchup hovering around the play in picture at 30-28, but injuries have limited their ceiling. With Stephen Curry battling knee soreness and the rotation leaning heavily on secondary scorers, Golden State has struggled to consistently close games. The Warriors are shooting about 36% from three as a team and averaging near 114 points per game, yet defensive lapses have been costly, particularly late. They recently dropped a tight contest despite solid perimeter production, highlighting how thin the margin for error has become without their full complement of stars.

The Memphis Grizzlies have endured a difficult season record wise, sitting below .500, but they’ve remained competitive in spots. Memphis allows approximately 118 points per game, which has hurt them in close contests, yet their ability to stretch the floor and push tempo keeps them live as underdogs. The Grizzlies narrowly edged Golden State 114-113 in a recent meeting, proving they can hang within a possession. While neither team is at full strength, Memphis’ scrappiness and Golden State’s inconsistency make the points valuable here.

Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction: Grizzlies +4 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +3.5