Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Monday, 12/15/25

Nikola Jokic was just 1 assist away from a triple-double when the Denver Nuggets secured a 3-point road victory over the Houston Rockets a little less than a month ago, and now Jokic and the Nuggets will go up against the Kevin Durant-led Rockets twice over the course of the next 6 days. For Denver, Monday night marks its first game back at home since December 1 — going 4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS on the road in the interim. Meanwhile, the Rockets have an interesting week of travel — playing in Denver on Monday, heading to New Orleans on Thursday to play the Pelicans, hopping a flight back to Denver on Saturday and finishing off a 4-game road trip in Sacramento on Sunday.

The travel seemingly has not impacted the Rockets, however, as they have gone 9-3 ATS on the road this season and are 2-0 ATS when playing in the role of underdogs. Both will apply on Monday, as the Rockets are 1-point underdogs with the game total set at 237.5. While I lean toward the Rockets to cover and possibly win this game straight up, there seems to be more value on the under. The total was set at 234.5 when these teams met in November, and they combined for just 221 points. Both teams tend to run their offenses through their big men in Jokic and Alperen Sengun, which should lead to a slower game in terms of pace. While these teams are inside the top 5 in offensive rating, the Rockets rank second in defensive rating and can slow the Nuggets down enough to keep this a lower-scoring affair. Houston has also cashed on the under in 7 of its last 10 games.

Rockets vs Nuggets prediction: Under 237.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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