Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/20/25

This matchup looks simpler than it is. Denver has won and covered four straight against Houston, which naturally pulls sentiment and money their way. But rewind just five days and the story changes — these two teams needed overtime in Denver to decide a winner. This was an accurate reflection of how evenly matched they are and why the price is where it is. The market priced that game as a coin flip for a reason, and nothing since then suggests the gap has suddenly widened. What has changed is perception. Denver’s recent success has elevated their price, while Houston remains undervalued despite proving they can compete.

When streaks pile up, lines get shaded. That’s where value opens. Houston doesn’t need to reinvent anything — they simply need to replicate what already worked and for the coin to land on their side this time around. They’ve already shown they can trade blows with Denver without backing down. This time however, the Rockets make the most of the situation. Houston straight up.

Rockets vs Nuggets prediction: Rockets (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at the number.