Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/02/26

Houston deserves more skepticism than it is getting as a modest favorite. On the surface, the Rockets being favored by a substantial margin makes sense — they defend, they run, they can flip games with quick scoring bursts and they play winning basketball. That profile attracts money because it’s visually convincing. But spreads aren’t about who looks better; they’re about what the market is really telling us. The price says that the Pacers are live. As such, Houston isn’t an absolutely  huge favorite in this spot.

Houston has the tools to control this game, but the Pacers have the scrappiness to make things difficult. To cover the necessary margin requires sustained control, but Indiana’s improved ball security, steadier shot selection and ability to avoid self-inflicted mistakes give it a path to stay within striking range. The line itself suggests this isn’t a mismatch, but rather a competitive bout; that’s why we urge those who are backing Houston here to proceed with caution. Grabbing the points with the Pacers is not betting on an upset narrative. It’s reading between the lines and taking advantage of a situational spot where Indiana can win outright.

Rockets vs Pacers prediction: Indiana +5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

If you’re looking for a new sportsbook for the Super Bowl, we recommend checking out Fanatics Sportsbook. New users can get $100 FanCash bet matches on their first 10 wagers! Join Fanatics Sportsbook, where you can bet on our Rockets vs Pacers predictions.