Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Odds and Picks for Thursday, 12/18/25

The New Orleans Pelicans have started off December being involved in several high-scoring shootouts, with 5 of their 7 games combining for over 234 points. Against a Houston Rockets team that is third in offensive rating this season and that averages 120.5 points per game on the road, that trend looks set to continue. It helps that the Pelicans have essentially committed to a youth movement, with rookies Jeramiah Fears and Derik Queen being central to their game plan. As a result, it is not surprising to see them rank seventh in the last 10 games in pace while also being just 25th in defensive rating. That combination of factors should allow the Rockets do the heavy lifting in this one for the over to hit.

Both of these teams have been shining with their hustle plays recently. The Pels have been leading the league in fast-break points per game. If they keep that up, it could ensure that the higher tempo creates enough scoring opportunities for both. The visitors, on the other hand, are third in second-chance points per game during that stretch. With Steven Adams and Alperen Sengun down low and both having a size advantage over Queen, the Rockets will be well positioned to turn any misses into quick scores in the paint. As a result, over 235 points in this game looks like the play to make.

Rockets vs Pelicans prediction: Over 235 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 236.5.

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