Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 10/21/25

The Houston Rockets made a huge win now move in the offseason with the acquisition of Kevin Durant. And so far through preseason there is every indication that this team is ready to hit the ground running. While their first task is not an easy one on paper, visiting the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder, the hosts could be without several key pieces. Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren played instrumental roles in their title run but have yet to suit up in preseason. It makes them a major doubt for the opener, and could leave Shai Gilgeous-Alexander with a huge offensive burden to carry. With the Rockets able to deploy Amen Thompson against him, the Thunder offense could stutter.

The Rockets finished the last regular season 12th in offensive rating. Expect a huge jump from them in this category this time around as they replaced Jalen Green with Durant, who is far more efficient from every part of the floor. The veteran also provides them with a reliable end of shot clock option, something they have been desperately lacking. The visitors here did finish last season top of the league in rebounding percentage and should control the glass in this one. The Thunder were just 19th in that category themselves and could have issues dealing with the size of Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr. and Steven Adams. The absence of Holmgren would not help matters. The hosts should struggle to squeeze out a win here, yet alone cover the spread.

Rockets vs Thunder prediction: Rockets +7.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +5.5.

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