Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/24/25

The Phoenix Suns host the Houston Rockets in a matchup filled with narrative and betting value, highlighted by Kevin Durant’s first return to Phoenix since joining Houston. While Durant’s homecoming will command most of the attention, the real story lies in how unexpectedly strong the Suns have been this season. Despite gutting much of their core during the offseason and entering what most expected to be a rebuilding year, Phoenix has surged to an impressive 11-6 record — exceeding expectations on both ends of the floor.

A major part of Phoenix’s success has been its dominance at home, where the Suns are a remarkable 9-1 ATS — making them one of the most reliable home teams in the league. Devin Booker continues to shoulder the offensive load, averaging elite scoring numbers with high efficiency, while Dillon Brooks adds formidable defense and complimentary scoring. Their synergy has helped Phoenix craft a steady balance between shot creation, ball movement and tough, physical defense — traits usually missing from younger or rebuilding squads. This consistency is why oddsmakers continue to undervalue them despite their strong performances.

Houston offers challenges of its own, with Alperen Sengun playing at an all-star level inside and Durant providing elite shot-making. But the Rockets remain inconsistent on the road, still ironing out spacing issues and struggling with late-game decision-making from their backcourt. With Phoenix’s strong home form, superior chemistry and matchup stability, getting +6.5 at home is simply too much value to ignore.

Rockets vs Suns prediction: Phoenix +6.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +5.5.

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