Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/11/26

Alperen Sengun has been listed as questionable to play tonight as the Houston Rockets visit the Sacramento Kings. The Turkish center has been pivotal to the Rockets offence this season, leading the team in assists. Without him the visitors are just not the same team. He has played just 1 minute of basket over the last 4 contests and his team has not managed to score more than 105 points in any of those games. They will be up against a Kings team that has injury concerns on their frontline, with Domantas Sobonis and Keegan Murray both listed as out. They have failed to score more than 105 points in any of their last 4 games too and with Denis Schroeder suspended, their struggles look set to continue.

Over the last 10 games neither team has been pushing the tempo, with both ranking in the bottom 10 of the league in pace. The Rockets in fact have played at the 2nd slowest pace in the NBA. That does not lend itself well to this being a high scoring contest, especially with the teams 25th and 30th in true shooting percentage during that stretch. The visitors also lead the league in rebounding percentage over those games, meaning that the Kings team that is dead last in offensive rating should be continuously limited to one possession tonight, preventing quick second chance points. As a result, it is hard to see which of the teams would be capable of carrying this game over the 222-point mark.

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings prediction: Under 222 available at time of publishing. Playable to under 220.5.