Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/07/25

Houston gets all the attention — they’ve added Kevin Durant, they’ve won six of seven, and they’ve handled the Spurs in recent meetings. But perception and reality are not aligned. Both teams are 5–2, yet only San Antonio is being treated like the pretender. The Spurs’ two recent losses were on the road against Phoenix and the Lakers, while Houston beat a depleted Memphis team and won five straight. That slight momentum swing has inflated the Rockets here. But rivalry games reset everything, and this is the exact spot where San Antonio has been waiting to punch back.

The biggest factor? Victor Wembanyama. Houston has no interior answer for him — and he’s averaging 25.6 points, nearly 13 rebounds, over four blocks, and three assists per night. He disrupts everything. San Antonio is undefeated at home, the market is overvaluing Houston’s recent spree, and the public is chasing the Rockets accordingly. That’s how underdogs become mispriced and that is how is value found. Spurs outright.

Rockets vs. Spurs prediction: San Antonio Spurs ML (+140) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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