Houston Rockets vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 10/29/25

This matchup is less about who’s better on paper and more about how perception shapes price. Houston’s name value has skyrocketed since the offseason after landing Kevin Durant — a move that instantly pushed the Rockets into the national conversation as “contenders” after last year’s playoff run. The overtime classic where they lost by a point at OKC on opening night substantiated that claim. But what have they done since then? Beat the Nets? Not that impressive of a result.

Toronto, meanwhile, has fallen completely off the radar, viewed as a fading Eastern Conference bottom-feeder. That’s what the market sees — but the market often inflates numbers precisely because of those narratives.

Both teams enter with just one but we reiterate Houston’s lone victory came against Brooklyn, a team struggling to find its identity and offering little resistance. Toronto’s win? A 20-point demolition of Atlanta on the road — that says more. Yet here we are with Houston laying six points simply because of brand bias and Durant’s presence.

Public sentiment and hype tend to push lines beyond fair value, and this number reflects exactly that. Houston’s perception is doing the heavy lifting here, not their on-court performance. The Raptors, though flawed, have the grit and offensive upside to keep this tight — and perhaps even steal it outright. Take the points and don’t be surprised if the underdog makes some noise.

Rockets vs Raptors prediction: Raptors +6 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 5.

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