Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/09/25

The Golden State Warriors will try to stay undefeated on their home court when they welcome in the Indiana Pacers this evening. The Warriors have a record of 5-5, but a home record of 4-0. The Warriors have lost four of their last five games. Their last loss was a 129-104 loss to the Denver Nuggets. The Warriors failed to generate consistent offense on the road with Steph Curry out with an illness. Curry is still listed as questionable for tonight’s game against Indiana. The Pacers have gotten off to a slow starting, only winning one of their first nine games. They have lost their last three games, including a 117-100 loss last night to the Denver Nuggets. Aaron Nesmith led the team in scoring with 25 points, but another loss has head coach Rick Carlisle searching for answers.

Neither team looked good offensively in their previous game against Denver. It is worth tracking the status of Steph Curry’s health for this game. The Warriors have been a completely different team on offense when Curry plays or doesn’t play. We saw that against Denver, and we also saw it in last year’s playoffs when the Warriors lost four straight to Minnesota after Curry’s injury. I’m writing this assuming Curry is still out and Curry won’t rush back to the court against a 1-8 Pacers team if he’s not fully healthy. Curry may have one of the largest impacts out of any player in the NBA. The Warriors offensive rating with Curry in the lineup is 117.2, but without Curry it drops a whole six points to 111.4. Their rating without Curry would rank 26th in the NBA. The Pacers have not gotten off to a good start, but they still do have excellent players such as Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, and Andrew Nembhard. Carlisle has a proven track record as a head coach, and eventually he will get this team playing better. Tonight could be the Pacers opportunity to turn a corner. If Curry is out, I certainly wouldn’t be backing the Warriors offense to be blowing anyone out.

Pacers vs Warriors prediction: Pacers +12.5 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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