Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/27/25

The Indiana Pacers will travel Saturday night to take on the Miami Heat for the first time this season. The Pacers have a record this season of 6-25, and they are only 1-13 when playing on the road. The Pacers have lost their last seven games, including their last loss against the Boston Celtics 140-122. Andrew Nembhard led the team with 18 points and 8 assists. The Heat have a record 16-15, but are 10-5 on their home floor. The Heat have lost three of their last four games, but they are coming off a 126-111 win over the Atlanta Hawks. Normal Powell led the Heat in scoring with 25 points and Kel’el Ware controlled the glass with 13 rebounds in the absence of Bam Adebayo. Pelle Larsson returned from an ankle injury in this game, and he scored a career-high 21 points.

Both teams will be playing this game in the second half of a back-to-back. Neither team has played well leading into this game. Before yesterday’s win for the Heat, they had lost eight out of their last nine games. Both teams are also dealing with a plethora of injuries. Gametime decisions for Indiana include Isaiah Jackson, Ben Sheppard and Aaron Nesmith. The Heat are waiting on a decision if Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro will be ready to return from injury tonight. The Heat have been solid at home this season, but they have been shaky in that arena as of late. They have lost their last three games on their home floor. Two of those losses were against the Toronto Raptors and one was against the Sacramento Kings, but all three were by double digits. Pacers’ head coach, Rick Carlisle, is one win away from 1000 career wins. With neither team playing well, I’ll back the Pacers and the points tonight. 

Pacers vs Heat prediction: Pacers +8.5 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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