Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks Prediction, Odds and Game 2 Picks for Today, 05/23/25

Madison Square GardenTNT
Pacers
Pacers
Today
Knicks
Knicks
WLWWW
Last 5
LWLWL
1-0Record0-1
47-46-0ATS Record45-47-3
52-41O/U Record51-44

Vote on who will cover the spread!

New York Knicks

Best Bets

Indiana Pacers
NBA
New York Knicks
Point Spread PickBest Bet
IND Pacers +6.0(-110)IND Pacers @ NY Knicks

The Indiana Pacers have been on an incredible run this postseason. They have lost just 2 games overall and have been getting the job done on the back of amazing offensive performances, leading this year’s playoffs in points per game. That offensive production should make it incredibly tough for the New York Knicks to overcome. During this postseason the visitors have also been shooting at a 40.6% rate from beyond the arc, 5.1% better than the Knicks. They used this to make 4 more three-pointers in Game 1 of the series and if they continue to have such an advantage, the Knicks could have issues creating separation between the sides.

Game 1 also showed that the Pacers have a deeper bench than the Knicks, outscoring them 31-17 in that department. That may remain the case in Game 2. NY head coach Tom Thibodeau does not place much trust in his rotation players, which could come back and haunt him on the heels of an overtime game. Indiana is 3rd this postseason in pace, which should further impact the Knicks’ starters. Fatigue could play a part during this contest. If so, that would lead to more turnovers by the home team. New York already committed 8 more in the first contest of the series and considering that the Pacers have the best assist-to-turnover ratio this postseason, that should not change on Friday. The Knicks will probably find it difficult to dominate this game, so getting 6 points with the Pacers seems like great value — especially considering their road form.

Pacers vs Knicks prediction: Indiana +6 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +4.

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Germantas Kneita
Photo of Germantas Kneita

Germantas Kneita

Like most Lithuanians, I started watching basketball from the age of six. I'm based out in London and played basketball at the University of Lincoln here in the UK. I had always had an interest in the NBA but things really took off in the summer of 2010. That year Linas Kleiza led Lithuania to 3rd place at the World Championships and signed with the Toronto Raptors to replace the departing Chris Bosh. I've been a Raptors fan since that day and I've not missed a game since. I've been handicapping games for more than a decade, specializing in player props. For Germantas Kneita media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Same Game Parlay

Money Line
NY Knicks Win
Player Points
OG Anunoby (NY) - 20+ pts
Player Rebounds
M. Robinson (NY) - 8+ rebs

New York Knicks ML over Indiana Pacers (-250)

Although it’s only Game 2, this feels like pretty much a must-win situation for the Knicks, who cannot afford to lose another game before the series moves to Indy for the next couple. Game 1 saw them build multiple double-digit leads, including one with just a couple of minutes left in the game, but the comeback kings were able to pull off the impossible and win in OT. They had an unexpected hero in Aaron Nesmith, who drained 8 threes. But as good as that performance was, I do not believe he has it in him to do it in back-to-back games.

I’m hoping to see a different approach by the Knicks in Game 2, as their head coach Tom Thibodeau has been involved in a ton of games like these so he will know what adjustments need to be made. One of them is certainly to slow down the tempo of the game, as Indiana is at their best when things go out of control on offense. The other one would be to involve the bench a bit more, as the Pacers won that battle 31-17 in Game 1. Defensively, the Knicks have to slow down Haliburton, especially at the beginning of the game, as he had 5 assists in the 1st quarter of Game 1. I expect the crowd at MSG to once again be at the top of their game, which should help carry the Knicks to a very important win in Game 2.

OG Anunoby to score 20+ points (+220)

Getting 43 points from Jalen Brunson and 35 points from Karl-Anthony Towns in Game 1 wasn’t enough for the Knicks, so instead I’d like to see the ball move around a bit more so others can get involved in the offense. In my opinion, the Knicks are at their best when the likes of Mikal Bridges and OG Anunoby get a similar amount of shots as Brunson and KAT. In the Game 6 elimination of Boston in the second round, we saw all 4 of those players score over 20 points, and that should be the recipe for the Knicks to even this series on Friday.

OG’s scoring form has been up and down this postseason, and in the 13 games played, we’ve seen him score 20+ points 6 times which is just below a 50% success rate. He was just 4 points shy in the series opener, so expect him to be way more aggressive in Friday’s game. The last 10 meetings with Indiana have seen him average 16.4 points per game, while in the 5 most recent games he’s achieved this feat twice. If Anunoby logs 40+ minutes again I have high hopes for him to top the 20-point mark.

Mitchell Robinson to record 8+ rebounds (+126)

Despite playing just 21 minutes in Game 1, Robinson was able to grab 8 rebounds, 4 of which came on the offensive end. It’s quite clear to me that the Pacers don’t have a counter for him down low and that Robinson has the physical advantage over both Myles Turner and Thomas Bryant. The Pacers don’t really play a lineup with a typical center, as they were committed to playing their usual fast pace in Game 1. I don’t see that changing much as this series continues.

During the regular season, Indiana ranked just 23rd in opponent rebounds, allowing 53.4 per game, and that number has gone up to 56.7 per game in their last 3 outings. I’m counting on the Knicks making the necessary adjustments here and not falling for Indiana’s trap of playing fast. That should help Robinson stay on the court longer and result in more rebounding opportunities.

Filip Tomic

Pickswise Expert Prop Picks

Indiana Pacers
First Basket Scorer Pick
A. Nesmith (IND) to score the first basket(+1000)

In Game 1 of this series, the New York Knicks had no answer for Aaron Nesmith, especially down the stretch in regulation. He dropped 30 points on just 13 field goal attempts, knocking down 8-of-9 three-pointers. He has been incredible so far in this postseason overall, making 53.9% of his field-goal attempts and an astonishing 53.8% of his three-pointers. Do not be surprised to see his role on the offense increase here and for the Pacers to look to him early on to see if he still has the hot hand.

The Pacers made the first basket in Game 1 and should be well-positioned to open the scoring in this one too. Myles Turner was able to win the opening tip against Karl-Anthony Towns. That was the first time he had done so in 3 attempts against the Knicks center. With both players similarly sized, this should remain a 50/50. This postseason, the Pacers and Knicks have been very similar in terms of defensive rating, ranking 8th and 9th. The Pacers, however, have been a lot more efficient scoring the ball, leading all teams in true shooting percentage. The Knicks are just 10th. With all other things being equal, the Pacers should be favored to open the scoring, and I am backing the in-form Nesmith to do it.

New York Knicks
Germantas Kneita

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Point Spread

The Pacers have covered in 5 straight games as a road underdog.

Game Totals

5 of the Pacers' last 6 matchups with the Knicks have gone Over the total.

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