Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks Prediction, Odds and Game 2 Picks for Today, 05/23/25
WLWWW | Last 5 | LWLWL |
1-0 | Record | 0-1 |
47-46-0 | ATS Record | 45-47-3 |
52-41 | O/U Record | 51-44 |
Vote on who will cover the spread!
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The Indiana Pacers have been on an incredible run this postseason. They have lost just 2 games overall and have been getting the job done on the back of amazing offensive performances, leading this year’s playoffs in points per game. That offensive production should make it incredibly tough for the New York Knicks to overcome. During this postseason the visitors have also been shooting at a 40.6% rate from beyond the arc, 5.1% better than the Knicks. They used this to make 4 more three-pointers in Game 1 of the series and if they continue to have such an advantage, the Knicks could have issues creating separation between the sides.
Game 1 also showed that the Pacers have a deeper bench than the Knicks, outscoring them 31-17 in that department. That may remain the case in Game 2. NY head coach Tom Thibodeau does not place much trust in his rotation players, which could come back and haunt him on the heels of an overtime game. Indiana is 3rd this postseason in pace, which should further impact the Knicks’ starters. Fatigue could play a part during this contest. If so, that would lead to more turnovers by the home team. New York already committed 8 more in the first contest of the series and considering that the Pacers have the best assist-to-turnover ratio this postseason, that should not change on Friday. The Knicks will probably find it difficult to dominate this game, so getting 6 points with the Pacers seems like great value — especially considering their road form.
Pacers vs Knicks prediction: Indiana +6 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +4.
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In Game 1 of this series, the New York Knicks had no answer for Aaron Nesmith, especially down the stretch in regulation. He dropped 30 points on just 13 field goal attempts, knocking down 8-of-9 three-pointers. He has been incredible so far in this postseason overall, making 53.9% of his field-goal attempts and an astonishing 53.8% of his three-pointers. Do not be surprised to see his role on the offense increase here and for the Pacers to look to him early on to see if he still has the hot hand.
The Pacers made the first basket in Game 1 and should be well-positioned to open the scoring in this one too. Myles Turner was able to win the opening tip against Karl-Anthony Towns. That was the first time he had done so in 3 attempts against the Knicks center. With both players similarly sized, this should remain a 50/50. This postseason, the Pacers and Knicks have been very similar in terms of defensive rating, ranking 8th and 9th. The Pacers, however, have been a lot more efficient scoring the ball, leading all teams in true shooting percentage. The Knicks are just 10th. With all other things being equal, the Pacers should be favored to open the scoring, and I am backing the in-form Nesmith to do it.
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The Pacers have covered in 5 straight games as a road underdog.
5 of the Pacers' last 6 matchups with the Knicks have gone Over the total.
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