Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/20/26

These two teams played yesterday and the Wizards won by seven. The oddsmakers however, has not budged. Indiana is priced in the same range that it was yesterday. That’s the most telling clue. Back-to-backs are never easy to navigate, because to the victor of game one goes the spoils, while the vanquished makes adjustments. Indiana is the team that has go back to the drawing board, but seldom does the second leg play out exactly like the first leg. The line is basically saying that here.

However, the market is zig-zagging. Yesterday, the Wizards had no appeal as an underdog, eventhough Indiana was 5-22 SU on the road (Now 5-23). Now, the market is coming back the other way with Washington. That’s the easy thing to do. That’s the knee-jerk reaction. Yesterday, the Wizards were the play, and now today the market is fading the Pacers for the reasons that were mentioned in the first game of the back-to-back. Indiana is a shaky road team; expecting the Pacers to dictate terms is ludicrous; Washington is built different. That’s all paraphrasing for what you will hear in many analyses, but the point is, if you read our analysis yesterday as we backed the Wizards, that’s what we wrote. Now it’s being said a game later, after the fact, with the rest of the market is harboring those sentiments. What this has turned into is an age-old case of betting a team a game too late. The time to back Washington was yesterday when they were off the radar, not today when they have already made noise. The fact that Indiana is installed at the same price as it was yesterday is the oddsmakers daring everyone to take Washington. We’re not going to bite. The Pacers find a way to win the rematch and all they need to do is win by one perimeter shot to cover.

Pacers vs Wizards prediction: Pacers -2 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to the number.