Miami Heat

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/06/26

TD GardenFDSNSU, NBCSB
Heat
Heat
Today
Celtics
Celtics
LWLWL
Last 5
LWWWW
27-25Record33-18
29-23-0ATS Record31-20-0
26-26O/U Record20-31
Boston Celtics

Heat vs Celtics Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
BOS Celtics -7.0(-105)

Consistency has eluded the Miami Heat so far in 2026, they’ve connected back-to-back wins on only one occasion so far. They also failed to land Giannis Antetokounmpo before the trade deadline, but despite all of this they remain ambitious for the remainder of this season. Friday sees them take on the Boston Celtics, this has been a match-up in which Erik Spoelstra and his men have largely struggled over the years winning just once in 9 meetings. After seeing them connect on just 8 threes in their last game which they lost against Atlanta, I’m having my doubts the Heat can get a result here. Their optimism will be based on the fact that they’ve won 4 of their last 5 games on the road.

Boston has a 4-game win streak running going into this game, following a masterful performance in Houston where they beat the rockets by 21 points. Jaylen Brown isn’t getting any love in the MVP race which is kind of surprising, he’s played an exceptional season leading his Celtics to a 33-18 record so far and the 3rd seed in the East. In the win over the Rockets the Cs knocked down 19 threes, Friday’s game against Miami will likely depend on how well they shoot but also how they defend the deep ball. Over the past 3 games Celtics opponents have shot just 31.3% from downtown against them, if they can limit Miami in this area there’s a good chance they go up 3-0 in the regular season series.

I do feel like Miami won’t go away without a fight here, however Boston’s defense has left a really good impression on me over the past 4 games where 3 opponents were held under the 100-point mark. Miami will look to run here, but I still have full confidence in the Celtics’ ability to knock down a ton of threes. Go with the home team.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Predictions: Celtics -7 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Long-time NBA fan, following the game closely for 21 years now. Joined the Pickswise writing staff for the 2020-21 season and have given out winning picks since. Hopefully we can make some money together! Oh, and I firmly believe Lebron James is not one of the two best basketball players of all time. Yeah, I said it. For Filip Tomic media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Top Trends
Game Totals

Each of the last 3 matchups between the Celtics and the Heat have gone over the Total.

Money Line

The Celtics have won 4 of their last 5 games at home against Eastern Conference teams.

Point Spread

The Heat have covered in 4 of their last 5 road games.

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