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Miami Heat

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/03/25

American Airlines CenterNBA TV
Heat
Heat
Today
Mavericks
Mavericks
WWWLW
Last 5
LLLWW
14-7Record7-15
13-8-0ATS Record11-11-0
12-9O/U Record8-14

Vote on who will win!

Dallas Mavericks

Heat vs Mavericks Pickswise Expert Predictions

Money Line Pick
DAL Mavericks Win(+135)

Miami looks like the obvious side at first glance. The Heat are 14–7 on the year, 13–8 ATS, and fresh off a 17-point beatdown of the Clippers on Monday. They’ve been dominant at home, winning 10 of their 14 games in South Beach but on the road? They are a question mark. This is where the opportunity emerges.

Dallas, on the other hand, is still viewed as inconsistent and difficult to trust. But the market is behind the curve here. Dallas has clearly shifted gears, and the evidence is in the last two outings: a road win as a nine-point dog at the Clippers, and an even more impressive 131–121 upset at Denver as an 11-point underdog. These aren’t accidents — this is a team heating up. With a high total, the expectation is a high-tempo game with both teams scoring freely. This makes the Mavs an attractive plus-price dog. Miami is still priced for reputation. Dallas is priced for skepticism. That discrepancy gives us the value.

Heat vs Mavericks prediction: Mavericks +135 (Money Line) available at time of publishing. Playable to the number.

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Napier Montgomery
Photo of Napier Montgomery

Napier Montgomery

College football handicapper for Pickswise, specializing in college football, soccer and college basketball. Much prefer betting on the smaller/forgotten games than the big matchups, where the lines are a lot more vulnerable. PhD in Victorian Literature, putting my skills of the written word to the test with betting analysis.
Read more about Napier Montgomery
Top Trends
Money Line

The Heat have won 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with losing records.

Game Totals

The Over is 6-2-1 in the Heat's road games this season.

Point Spread

The Mavericks have covered the spread in their last 3 home matchups with the Heat.

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