Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/14/25

The setup for this one is straightforward, as this matchup profiles as a scoring environment, not a defensive grind. Both New York and Miami enter tonight boasting top-10 offenses, and each has leaned heavily into pace and shot creation early in the season. Miami leads the entire NBA at nearly 125 points per game, an explosive number that signals a team prioritizing tempo, spacing, and early-clock shot attempts. New York isn’t far behind, averaging 121 points per contest, and the Knicks have shown a clear willingness to engage in high-octane exchanges rather than rely solely on half-court execution.

The last time these two teams met, the game finished 115–107 in favor of Miami as a 3-point underdog back in October. That score might seem modest compared to tonight’s total, but context matters: that meeting demanded a defensive tone from Miami to secure the win, and the Knicks played a slower, more methodical brand of basketball then. This is a different moment, different rhythm, and a different version of both clubs. The Knicks will be at home in Madison Square Garden, where they’ve been pushing pace noticeably harder. Their strategy is clear: increase tempo, create more possessions, and force opponents to match them shot-for-shot. That style will naturally expose them defensively, particularly in transition, and the Heat — with the league’s top-ranking offense — are built to capitalize on precisely those breakdowns. When two teams that can score this efficiently meet, totals north of 235 become not only reachable but logical.

Heat vs Knicks prediction: Over 236.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at the number.

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