Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/10/26

The Minnesota Timberwolves and the Houston Rockets will go head-to-head in a sequel to their wild matchup back on March 25th in Minnesota when he Timberwolves won 110-108 in overtime. This game included the Timberwolves blowing a double-digit lead in regulation, the Rockets then blowing a double-digit lead in overtime and it all ending with a Julius Randle game-winner. The Timberwolves may be without Randle tonight –he is listed as questionable with a hand injury — but Minnesota should have Anthony Edwards and Rudy Gobert back in the lineup after missing time. The Timberwolves have struggled down the stretch without their star guard, losing 5 of their last 7 games. Their recent struggles has locked them into the #6 seed for the postseason with no possibility of moving up or down.

The Timberwolves will still want to get back in sync before the postseason. A team they could potentially play is the Rockets, as Houston currently sits 1 game behind the #3 Denver Nuggets in the West. The Rockets are playing their best basketball of the season right now, winning their last 8 games. There are still concerns around Houston’s lack of point guard and their bench as the postseason arrives, and their lack of depth showed in their last game against the 76ers. Houston got out to a 90-54 lead when they pulled their starters out of the game. The Rockets bench then proceeded to allow the 76ers back in the contest, with the lead getting all the way down to 5 points. Kevin Durant and the starters had to rejoin the game to finish off yesterday’s contest, which could add to tired legs tonight.

Both the Rockets and Timberwolves are top defensive teams in the NBA in rating and points allowed. With Gobert back in the lineup, the Timberwolves should once again be able to control the paint and force difficult shots. Both of these teams are also bottom 10 in pace, leaning more on their half-court sets. The total was similar in their previous matchup and that game went under even with overtime. With a potentially new rivalry brewing, I expect the defensive effort to be up again tonight and number of possessions to be low.

Timberwolves vs Rockets prediction: Under 222 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at 220.

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